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2024-12-13 16:33:37

Analyst: The interest rate of the European Central Bank will be pushed to the low end of the neutral range. Marchel Alexandrovich, an economist at Saltmarsh Economics, said that the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, which is the fourth time in this easing cycle. The monetary policy statement reiterated that the Committee would not commit to a specific interest rate path in advance. However, the new forecast shows that the core inflation rate is 1.9% in 2026 and 2027, which indicates that interest rates may continue to push to the low end of the neutral range.Russia's central bank's gold and foreign exchange reserves reached US$ 614.4 billion in the week of December 6, with the previous value of US$ 614.1 billion.Huachuang Securities: It was first rated as "recommended" by Zangge Mining, with a target price of 33.3 yuan. Huachuang Securities Research Report pointed out that Zangge Mining (000408.SZ) is an important producer of potassium lithium salt and copper in China, with a high dividend return to shareholders. The company actively arranges high-quality potash resources at home and abroad: three major projects, namely, Heibei potash mine in Dalangtan, Alkali-Shishan potash mine and the eastern part of deep brine potash mine in Xiaoliangshan-Dafengshan area, are steadily promoted in China, with a total exploration right of 1,400 square kilometers; Overseas has signed a potash exploration agreement with Laos. At present, the exploration report and potash mine reserve certificate have been obtained. It is estimated that the total amount of potassium chloride resources in Setani County and Ba 'e County is 984 million tons. It is estimated that the output of the first phase of potassium chloride project will be 1 million tons/year, and the scale of potassium chloride production is expected to double in the future. The company is an important manufacturer of potassium and lithium in China, and Julong Copper is expected to inject strong kinetic energy into the company's growth. Considering that Mamicho Mining has not been consolidated at present, it is estimated that the company will realize a net profit of 25.0/27.7/4.29 billion yuan in 24-26 years, which is -27%, +11% and +54.9% respectively. In 2025, it can be compared with the company's average valuation of 19 times, giving the company a valuation of 19 times in 2025, corresponding to the target price of 33.3 yuan, covering for the first time and giving a "recommended" rating.


European Central Bank: It plans to stop reinvesting in the Emergency Anti-epidemic Bond Purchase Program (PEPP) by the end of 2024. Continue to reduce the emergency anti-epidemic bond purchase program (PEPP) by 7.5 billion euros per month.According to a poll released by The Israel Times recently, 66% of the Israeli respondents believe that Netanyahu should leave politics, and only 27% of the people support him.The offshore RMB retreated against the US dollar, and now it is reported at 7.2700.


Blinken arrived in Jordan to attend an emergency meeting on Syria. It is reported that US Secretary of State Blinken arrived in Jordan on Thursday to attend an emergency meeting on Syria. Blinken will meet with Jordanian Foreign Minister Assafadi and King Abdullah.The Israeli army launched several rounds of air strikes on many places in Gaza, resulting in 37 deaths. On December 12, local time, the reporter of the General Station was informed that the Israeli army launched several rounds of air strikes on Gaza City in the north, Nuseilet refugee camp in the middle and Khan Younis in the south of the Gaza since the early morning of that day, which has caused 37 deaths. At present, the Israeli side has not issued a statement on related events. (CCTV News)The Bank of Japan's short-term survey may show that business confidence has hardly changed. It is reported that the short-term survey released by the Bank of Japan on Friday may show that the mood of large manufacturers has remained almost unchanged in the last quarter under the influence of complex signals such as the recovery of the automobile industry and concerns about the global economic slowdown. Economists surveyed by data provider Quick predict that the prosperity judgment index of large-scale manufacturing industry will be +12, compared with +13 in the last survey. The survey is closely watched for clues about the decision of the Bank of Japan at its meeting next week. If it shows strong capital expenditure plan, high inflation expectation and tight employment situation, it may support the idea of raising interest rates early.

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